Finally, the honeymoon is over for Pakatan Rakyat after 11-month running the Perak state. The Sultan of Perak seems to think that state assembly dissolution is not necessary over the current crisis. Interestingly police and FRU were speedily fast in taking over the State Secretariat building after outgoing Menteri Besar (Chief Minister) Nizar was reportedly refuse to resign. Why the Sultan of Perak disagreed to dissolve the state assembly is beyond many imaginations and it appears many netizens are not happy with the decision but to resists is futile – as the saying goes. It’s wise to remain calm and refrain from posting any seditious comments as that could be easily used as an excuse by the federal government to put more heads behind bars (no wonder Najib was grinning from ear to ear after his meeting with the Sultan).

In reality the chess-master Najib has planned the whole takeover brilliantly, easily outclassed Anwar in this battle. It doesn’t matter if it has costs RM200 million (RM50 million each) of taxpayer money to fish the four defectors to bring down the Perak government. Considering that the ruling government has spent a whopping RM500 millon but still lost the Kuala Terengganu by-election recently, this RM200 million is very well spent. Duplicate the same model on Selangor, Kedah and to some extent Penang you might be able to wrest back all those states lost in the 2008 Mar general election. People are fuming that if this is the way to topple (or rather buy) government then why bother vote for the party they desire? Sure, if the Perak state is dissolved then the possibility of Pakatan Rakyat gaining two-third majority is pretty high, as what some pundits said but I guess we’ll never live to know this theory.

But what transpired between the Sultan and Najib that was so convincing that Nizar failed to impress upon? Sultan Azlan Shah, a lawyer by profession, was a former Lord President of the Federal Court so he should be well-versed on matter pertaining to law and Constitution. Instantly rumor-mill started churning out theories that the Sultan was somehow shown files (the former dictator Mahathir was master in this area) that could threaten his kingdom if he does not follow instruction. The fact is all the Sultans have their own businesses (hey! Money talks) and one way or another the dotted lines ended up at the federal government. Actually by looking at how Najib brought the whole battalion of the 28 plus 3 parasites and frogs with him confidently into the palace as compared to the lone ranger Nizar should have given tips on the result.

Anwar and his gang can get the 100,000 supporters for a showdown in Ipoh stadium but it can’t change the fact that the Sultan has made the decision (but the Constitution said otherwise about how Menteri Besar can be dismantled?). Maybe what the Sultan has done is a blessing in disguise. It will awaken the politicians and people that wresting a government by way of defections is simply silly because the betrayals could jump to the other site of the fence once again. Like it or not there’re still many assemblymen especially the opposition parties who has not smell the aroma of RM1 million, let alone RM10 or $50 million. The Sultan cannot take this (money politic) into consideration as according to the law, he has to agree to assemblyman who commands the majority of support and unfortunately Barisan Nasional has it. But hey, why Najib is leading the group and not the incoming Menteri Besar (Chief Minister)? Najib is not the one who’s going to be the next Menteri Besar so he has no business negotiating with the Sultan (see the link about the theory that Sultan was being arm-twisted here?).

So, if there’s no leader amongst the 28 plus 3 fellows doesn’t that mean nobody has actually gain the majority support yet to become the next Menteri Besar? Anyway the incoming BN government is expected to be equally weak as it depends on these four frogs (or rather three independent) but then these three frogs can always join BN components very soon. The question is what if there’re hoppers from BN itself? If this happen then it would paint a picture that Sultan’s decision today is deadly wrong as His Highness should have return the decision to choose the new government to the people instead. Of course the possibility of opposition assemblymen hopping over to BN is greater, generally speaking.

Whatever it is the floodgate is now opened to anyone desire to jump to any party and this is not healthy although interesting *and fun*. What better way to become instant millionaire than to hop around? Assuming you’ll get RM10 million per-hop the dream of becoming a billionaire is definitely not far away *grin*. But then could this whole drama is just the starting episode of more explosive conspiracy plans by Anwar and Abdullah (or rather his son-in-law Khairy)? Nevertheless a crisis could be brewing between Pakatan Rakyat and the Monarchy.

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February 5th, 2009 by financetwitter

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