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YAHOO's Loss Is GOOGLE's Gain – Time to Make Money



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Apr 19 2007
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Google Inc. (Nasdaq: GOOG, stock) will announce its’ earning today, Apr-19-2007, after market close. Google generates revenue by delivering online advertising. Businesses use its AdWords program to promote their products and services with targeted advertising. In addition, the third-party Websites that comprise the Google Network use the Company’s AdSense program to deliver relevant advertisements that generate revenue.
In August 2006, it acquired Neven Vision, an online photo-search company. On October 10, 2006, it acquired the online video company, YouTube. In October 2006, it also acquired JotSpot. And the most recent is the acquisition of DoubleClick for a whopping $3.1 Billion
Google’s stock price has been trading in the tight range of between $ 461 and $ 475. As of current stock trading price, Google’s share price will either jumps above $ 475 or dive below $ 461 depending on it’s earning today (after closing bell). Yahoo Inc. (Nasdaq: YHOO, stock) traditionally provides the yardstick of how Google will performs. Yahoo’s loss will be Google’s gain and vice-versa, let’s look at some fundamental data on Google.
Rating Indicators for GOOG:
  • Wall Street consensus : 3.30
  • StockScouter rating : 7 / 10
  • Whisper Number for this stock : 3.20
  • Schaeffer rating for this stock : 5 / 10
  • Power Rating : 5 / 10
  • Insider Trading (last 52 weeks) : ($2.32 B)
  • Zacks Analysts Rating: Moderate Buy
  • Option Trading: June 2007 470 Call
  • Implied Volatility (IV) for June 2007 $470.0 Strike : 28.18%

Sales, Income & Growth – For the past 12-months, Google registered $10.60 Billion in sales versus the industry’s $8.85 Billion. Income amounted to $3.08 Billion against the industry’s $2.34 Billion. While Google’s 12-months sales growth is at 72.80%, the income growth is in the region of mind-boggling 110.00% (the same industry sector sales growth is at 57.40% and income growth of 88.80%).

Profitability & Financial Health – For the past 12-months, net profit margin is in the region of 29.0%. Google has a debt/equity ratio of zero compare to industry’s ratio of 0.03.

Stock Resistance & Support Level – The resistance is at 513.00 (52-week high) while the first level support is at 460.81 (50-day moving average).

Risks – The price-to-earnings multiple, 48.00 is higher than the average industry level. Previous day’s closing price for GOOG was close to its 50-day moving average. Heavy insider selling especially by Schmidt Eric could put some concern on the stock price to some analysts.

Shares of search engine operator Yahoo Inc. sunk in heavy trading Wednesday, as several analysts restated ratings while showing concern over the company’s Tuesday announcement that first-quarter earnings declined 11 percent. On Tuesday, Yahoo announced its first-quarter profit fell 11 percent to $142.2 million, or 10 cents per share, from $159.9 million, or 11 cents per share, in the year-ago period.

It’s always the competition between Yahoo and Google in the online advertising business. Yahoo’s Panama which is suppose to rival Google’s Adsense has been a failure so far in giving Google a run for its’ money. As long as Yahoo disappoints, Google should shines with the market automatically in its’ portfolio. Furthermore, out of 10 times, Google beats Whisper Number 8 times in the earning estimation. Please take note that investing Google’s stock is always a risky business.

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Comments

I take pride in being a Malaysian, for the multicultural nature of my country, for her beauty and uniqueness, and for the resilience and sacrifices of the communities that work so hard fighting for what is right and for what they deserve. However, when it comes to her government and politics, there seems to be not much I could cheer about.

I enjoy reading your blog. Your contents are great, as well as your investment insight and thinking. My area of expertise is technical analysis. I day trade the US futures market and I manage a family and friends’ investment fund. Are you an individual investor? Or you work for an institution? If you don’t mind me asking.

You do not have to publish this comment. I respect your privacy and you can make response to my email address posted in the next comment.

Best wishes
Boon
http://tradebursamalaysia.blogspot.com/

hello boon,

i believe most of the malaysians would share the same pride yet can’t help being confuse, sad, anger and “what a waste” feeling towards the country just because a bunch of clowns are running the show … who else can you blame? the politicians, the voters, the rulers, the people themselves? i think it might take another generation before educated voters can do the right things … maybe not … no-one knows …

i guess you must’ve been “if you can’t beat them, leave them” as you wouldn’t want to waste your time and tax …

let’s say i’m an individual investor (can’t reveal more than that for obvious reasons) … did you hit the jackpot with google? boy, did you see how it flys? i hope you made some pocket money from my blog posting on this giant … anyway, i might be just lucky on this stock … one thing i learn when trading in the world’s largest market is that you’ve to be humble and continue your journey of learning … trade alongside the big-boys …

cheers …
stocktube

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