UMNO-led Barisan Nasional (BN) may have miscalculated when Johor Chief Minister Onn Hafiz Ghazi arrogantly declared war on Pakatan Harapan (PH). Not only he announced that BN will “go solo”, will contest all 56 seats in the next Johor state election, and will leave no space for cooperation or negotiation with Premier Anwar Ibrahim’s coalition, he also insulted DAP.
When Onn Hafiz declared he would rather give up his position than “sit at the same table” or form a coalition state government with DAP (Democratic Action Party) in the Johor state election, he probably had forgotten that the component party of Anwar-led Pakatan Harapan commanded 95% of Chinese support in the Nov 2022 General Election. That figure could have increased to 100% today.
But mocking and insulting DAP was not the worst part. The worst part was when the Johor CEO had grossly underestimated the popularity of Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim. And UMNO is set to lose its bastion – Johor – all because Onn Hafiz disrespected the Madani administration. In the latest Merdeka Centre public opinion survey, Anwar is the country’s most popular political leader.
At 52% approval rating, PM Anwar is more popular than U.S. President Donald Trump’s 37%. This means Anwar could beat Trump for the White House, what more PM of Gaza, if a presidential election is held tomorrow. Even French President Emmanuel Macron, currently the most popular national leaders in Europe and holds a domestic approval rating between 20% and 24%, is nowhere near Anwar’s popularity.
The survey, conducted between March 12 and April 9 among 1,209 respondents nationwide, found that Anwar is ahead of six other political leaders – including former UMNO Youth chief Khairy Jamaluddin (50% approval rating), former Premier Muhyiddin Yassin (36%), former Economy Minister Rafizi Ramli (32%), and opposition Perikatan Nasional chairman Samsuri Mokhtar (28%).
The best part is opposition PAS Islamist party president Abdul Hadi Awang – supposedly the holiest man who reports directly to God and holds the key to heaven – only garnered 25% popularity. Even UMNO president and Deputy Prime Minister Ahmad Zahid Hamidi, widely speculated to become the next Prime Minister, recorded the lowest approval rating of only 24%.
The survey results mean not only Anwar’s PKR (People’s Justice Party) could win all the 20 seats it is contesting in the upcoming Johor state election, but he would also lead Pakatan Harapan coalition to a stunning victory – most likely wiping out the arrogant Barisan Nasional. UMNO Johor deserves to be annihilated for going to war without considering the PM’s popularity.
In the same breath, Rafizi, the rebellious former deputy president of PKR who quit and joined Parti Bersama Malaysia (Bersama) to provide a third option for disgruntled and angry supporters of PH, might see all his Bersama candidates in the upcoming state elections losing their election deposits. Therefore, Anwar hardcore supporters should stop worrying about Bersama splitting PKR voters.
Unlike last year’s Sabah state election, where PKR, Amanah and DAP were annihilated, all the three component parties of PH should instead worry about how to celebrate the coming huge win in Johor. Anwar’s popularity should also boost their chances of winning the Negeri Sembilan, Melaka, and Sarawak state elections, not to mention a landslide victory in the next 16th General Election.
Yes, it would be a humiliation if PKR fails to win any seat in Johor. It would be a bigger embarrassment if the 1-month-old Bersama wins more seats than the 27-year-old PKR after the latest Merdeka Centre public opinion survey shows how popular Anwar Ibrahim is in Malaysia. It simply does not make sense that a man with a 52% approval rating would lose to his protégé with only 32% popularity.
Worse, PKR would lose face if its president with 52% popularity were to lose to UMNO whose president garnered approval rating of only 24% – the lowest and worst leader being polled. Unless the Merdeka Centre had been paid to manipulate and cook up the numbers to project Anwar as the best leader, PH should have no problems winning all the state elections and national elections.
The survey also means Anwar must have done something right between the time when his popularity was at a deplorable state leading to PH losing its underwear in the Sabah elections in Nov 2025 and the survey done in March 12 – April 9. Clearly, the PM and DAP chief Anthony Loke overreacted when they panicked after UMNO Johor called for a snap election in early June.
Astonishingly, despite growing international uncertainties and economic challenges, 47% of respondents said Malaysia was heading in the right direction – unchanged from surveys conducted in December 2025 and February this year. However, half of those surveyed believed the country was heading in the wrong direction – economy situation, fuel prices and the cost of living.
Even though 73% identified economic issues as the single biggest problem facing the country, satisfaction with the government’s handling of the economy stood at 46%, while 51% expressed dissatisfaction. Anwar and his supporters have very little to worry about because dissatisfaction had actually declined significantly compared with the overall trend throughout 2025.
Under Anwar’s excellent leadership, Malaysia’s economy expanded by a strong 5.2% in 2025. That puts former dictator Mahathir Mohamad’s leadership to shame, whereby the country’s economy averaging an annual GDP growth rate of roughly 9.5% between 1990 and 1996. Heck, Mahathir even drove the country’s economic growth to a pathetic 10% in 1996 – almost double that of Anwar’s.
Overall, public sentiment towards the federal government was evenly split, with 50% expressing satisfaction and 48% dissatisfaction. Crucially, across ethnic groups, 39% of Malay respondents said the country is moving in the right direction, compared to 50% among Chinese respondents and 33% among Indian respondents – suggesting that Anwar is on track for a second term.
The survey data means Anwar has brilliantly captured 39% of Malay votes – key to winning the next national polls with two-thirds majority. This is a huge jump from only 15% Malays who voted for PH in 2022. With opposition bloc Perikatan Nasional (PN) in severe disarray and turmoil following a major fracture between its two main pillars, Bersatu and PAS, Anwar’s popularity may help snatch Kedah – even Kelantan and Terengganu.
It doesn’t matter that only 50% of the Chinese community said the country is moving in the right direction. Almost 100% of them are expected to vote for Anwar and DAP anyway. What DAP needs to do is to scare the shit out of them – if the ethnic Chinese don’t vote for Pakatan Harapan, PAS religious extremists and Bersatu racist bigots would take over the country, and voila, PH wins again.
PKR and DAP could also threaten the Chinese that when the opposition takes over, the recognition of the Unified Examination Certificate (UEC) would be cancelled, pig farming would be banned, temples would be demolished, halal and non-halal waste separation policy would be enforced, places of worship cannot be built taller than nearby mosques, and whatnot.
More importantly, the survey reveals that by age group, satisfaction with Anwar was highest among younger respondents aged 21 to 30, with 64% expressing approval of the Madani government. Essentially, six in ten young voters are incredibly impressed with the Premier, and could not wait to vote for the great Anwar for a second-term. So, what is the PM waiting for?
Merdeka Centre was the same research firm which accurately predicted Barisan Nasional coalition under former Prime Minister Najib Razak leadership would win the 14th General Election in May 2018 and retain power. Therefore, its latest survey report carries weight and must be extremely reliable. Mr Anwar, the country’s best and most popular leader, is set to win a landslide victory in the next 16th General Election. BN is in trouble!!
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June 26th, 2026 by financetwitter
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